EXCEEDING THE 1.5 ° C LIMIT
Source: The Global Annual to Decadal Update – the World Meteorological Organisation, produced by the UK Met Office
The average Arctic temperature anomaly over the next five extended winters, relative to the recent climatological normal( the average of the years 1991-2020), is predicted to be
2.8 ° C MORE THAN the anomaly in global mean temperature
91 %
likely that the global mean near-surface temperature will temporarily exceed 1.5 ° C above the 1850 to 1900 average levels for at least one year between 2026 and 2030
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